RB · Minnesota Vikings · bye week 6
Aaron Jones Sr.
Aaron Jones Sr. fantasy outlook for week 9 vs BUF. Chance to play: 100%.
This week's projection and range of outcomes
| Scoring | Projection | 80% range (P10 to P90) | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 7.7 | 1.6 to 16.0 | RB32 |
| Half PPR | 8.7 | 2.2 to 17.4 | RB32 |
| PPR | 9.8 | 2.8 to 19.0 | RB29 |
The range is Margin's: how far real outcomes landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
Matchup
- Game: vs BUF
- Line: BUF −2.5, O/U 46.5
- MIN implied total: 22.0
- BUF allow the 3rd-most RB points (+2.1 a game, schedule-adjusted)
Recent usage
| Week | Opponent | Snap share | Targets | Carries | Points (half PPR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 | MIA | 73% | 8 | 20 | 14.8 |
| Week 5 | NO | 87% | 3 | 25 | 17.2 |
| Week 7 | IND | 25% | 1 | 8 | 3.1 |
| Week 8 | DET | 40% | 2 | 5 | 5.0 |
Season range
72.3 points so far; 163.9 projected for the season (80% range 138.1 to 189.7, half PPR, 10 games left).
Trending
Added in 0 and dropped in 9,351 Sleeper leagues in the last 24 hours.
Aaron Jones Sr. 2026 game log and weekly projections
Half-PPR points and projection by week. Each linked week has its own page with the full stat line, all three scorings and everyone in the game.
| Week | Opponent | Points | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs GB | 10.0 | 7.9 | RB24 |
| Week 2 | @ CHI | 10.5 | 12.9 | RB18 |
| Week 3 | @ TB | 11.7 | 11.8 | RB15 |
| Week 4 | vs MIA | 14.8 | 13.7 | RB18 |
| Week 5 | @ NO | 17.2 | 13.5 | RB7 |
| Week 6 | Bye | — | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs IND | 3.1 | 11.8 | RB53 |
| Week 8 | @ DET | 5.0 | 8.8 | RB37 |
| Week 9 | vs BUF | — | 8.7 | upcoming |
| Week 10 | @ GB | — | 9.0 | upcoming |
| Week 11 | @ SF | — | 7.9 | upcoming |
| Week 12 | vs ATL | — | 8.4 | upcoming |
| Week 13 | vs CAR | — | 9.8 | upcoming |
| Week 14 | @ NE | — | 8.7 | upcoming |
| Week 15 | vs DET | — | 10.1 | upcoming |
| Week 16 | vs WAS | — | 9.1 | upcoming |
| Week 17 | @ NYJ | — | 8.6 | upcoming |
| Week 18 | vs CHI | — | 10.0 | upcoming |
Aaron Jones Sr. 2026 stats and fantasy points
72.3 half-PPR points in 7 games (10.3 a game), RB23 so far. PPR 79.8, standard 64.8.
| Stat | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 110 | 15.7 |
| Rushing yards | 458 | 65.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 2 | 0.3 |
| Targets | 21 | 3.0 |
| Receptions | 15 | 2.1 |
| Receiving yards | 90 | 12.9 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0.1 |
Aaron Jones Sr. rest of season outlook
Margin projects 90.3 half-PPR points over his 10 remaining games (9.0 a game), RB25 the rest of the way. PPR 101.4, standard 79.4.
His start and his outlook agree (RB23 to date, RB25 from here): his trade price should match his projection.
Start or sit Aaron Jones Sr. in week 9?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Aaron Jones Sr. is RB32 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (RB24) is projected for 9.8 half-PPR points; Margin gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 36% chance to score at least that.
More rankings
Questions
What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s fantasy projection for week 9?
8.7 half-PPR points (9.8 PPR, 7.7 standard), with an 80% range of 2.2 to 17.4.
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. in week 9?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Aaron Jones Sr. is RB32 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (RB24) is projected for 9.8 half-PPR points; Margin gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 36% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points has Aaron Jones Sr. scored in 2026?
72.3 half-PPR points in 7 games (10.3 per game), RB23 at his position; 79.8 in PPR and 64.8 in standard.
What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s rest of season outlook?
Margin projects 90.3 half-PPR points over his 10 remaining games (9.0 a game), RB25 the rest of the way. PPR 101.4, standard 79.4.
Should I trade for Aaron Jones Sr.?
His start and his outlook agree (RB23 to date, RB25 from here): his trade price should match his projection. Connect your league and Margin prices any trade against your roster.
Is Aaron Jones Sr. injured?
Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation. His chance to play in week 9: 100%.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)
Similar running backs this week
- J.K. Dobbins DEN · 8.9
- Omarion Hampton LAC · 8.8
- Woody Marks HOU · 8.8
- Mike Washington Jr. LV · 8.4
- Jordan Mason MIN · 7.6
- Breece Hall NYJ · 7.4