RB · Minnesota Vikings · week 9, 2026
Aaron Jones Sr. week 9 fantasy projection
Aaron Jones Sr. (running back, Minnesota Vikings) is projected for 8.7 half-PPR points in week 9 of 2026 vs Buffalo Bills, with an 80% range of 2.2 to 17.4. That ranks RB32 at his position.
- Projection
- 8.7 half PPR
- 80% range
- 2.2–17.4 P10 to P90
- Rank
- RB32 by projection
- Chance to play
- 100% no designation
Week 9 projection and range of outcomes
Margin's range: how far real results landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
| Scoring | Projection | Median | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 7.7 | 6.2 | 1.6 to 16.0 |
| Half PPR | 8.7 | 7.5 | 2.2 to 17.4 |
| PPR | 9.8 | 8.7 | 2.8 to 19.0 |
Start or sit Aaron Jones Sr. in week 9?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Aaron Jones Sr. is RB32 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (RB24) is projected for 9.8 half-PPR points; Margin gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 36% chance to score at least that.
Your league's scoring, roster and opponent change the answer: connect it and Margin prices the decision for your lineup.
Week 9 matchup vs BUF
Game: vs Buffalo Bills, 2026-11-09.
Line: BUF −2.5, O/U 46.5.
MIN implied total: 22.0 points.
BUF allow the 3rd-most RB points (+2.1 a game, schedule-adjusted).
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation. Chance to play in week 9: 100%.
Projected stat line, week 9
| Stat | Projected |
|---|---|
| Carries | 10.9 |
| Rushing yards | 46.2 |
| Rushing TDs | 0.2 |
| Targets | 2.9 |
| Receptions | 2.1 |
| Receiving yards | 12.5 |
| Receiving TDs | 0.1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0.1 |
Everyone in the game: MIN vs BUF, week 9
Every fantasy player from both teams, by half-PPR projection.
| Player | Pos | Team | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 21.6 | QB2 |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 16.8 | QB14 |
| James Cook III | RB | BUF | 14.3 | RB12 |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 14.2 | WR7 |
| DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 10.8 | WR22 |
| Will Reichard | K | MIN | 9.2 | K5 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 8.7 | RB32 |
| Tyler Bass | K | BUF | 8.7 | K10 |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 8.0 | TE12 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 7.6 | RB34 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 7.5 | TE16 |
| Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 7.0 | WR43 |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 6.2 | WR48 |
| Buffalo Bills defense | DEF | BUF | 5.9 | DEF15 |
| Minnesota Vikings defense | DEF | MIN | 5.7 | DEF18 |
| Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 5.5 | WR55 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 4.1 | RB58 |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 2.7 | WR85 |
| Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | 2.3 | TE44 |
| Joshua Palmer | WR | BUF | 2.1 | WR97 |
| Tyrell Shavers | WR | BUF | 1.6 | WR107 |
| Gavin Bartholomew | TE | MIN | 1.4 | TE51 |
| Tai Felton | WR | MIN | 1.2 | WR112 |
| Ray Davis | RB | BUF | 0.8 | RB74 |
| Jackson Hawes | TE | BUF | 0.6 | TE77 |
| Greg Dortch | WR | BUF | 0.5 | WR135 |
Aaron Jones Sr. week by week, 2026
- Week 1 vs GB 10.0 pts
- Week 2 @ CHI 10.5 pts
- Week 3 @ TB 11.7 pts
- Week 4 vs MIA 14.8 pts
- Week 5 @ NO 17.2 pts
- Week 7 vs IND 3.1 pts
- Week 8 @ DET 5.0 pts
- Week 9 vs BUF proj. 8.7
- Week 10 @ GB proj. 9.0
More from week 9
Questions
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. in week 9?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Aaron Jones Sr. is RB32 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (RB24) is projected for 9.8 half-PPR points; Margin gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 36% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points is Aaron Jones Sr. projected for in week 9?
8.7 half-PPR, 9.8 PPR and 7.7 standard points vs Buffalo Bills, with an 80% range of 2.2 to 17.4.
Is Aaron Jones Sr. playing in week 9?
Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation. Margin gives him a 100% chance to play.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)