QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · bye week 10
Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield fantasy outlook for week 9 at CHI. Chance to play: 100%.
This week's projection and range of outcomes
| Scoring | Projection | 80% range (P10 to P90) | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 15.9 | 6.0 to 24.9 | QB18 |
| Half PPR | 15.9 | 6.0 to 24.9 | QB18 |
| PPR | 15.9 | 6.0 to 24.9 | QB18 |
The range is Margin's: how far real outcomes landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
Matchup
- Game: at CHI
- Line: CHI −5.5, O/U 47.5
- TB implied total: 21.0
- CHI allow the 6th-most QB points (+1.5 a game, schedule-adjusted)
Recent usage
| Week | Opponent | Snap share | Targets | Carries | Points (half PPR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | CLE | 100% | — | 4 | 13.2 |
| Week 3 | MIN | 94% | — | 2 | 12.3 |
| Week 7 | CAR | 90% | — | 1 | 6.7 |
| Week 8 | ATL | 100% | — | 4 | 1.4 |
Season range
45.2 points so far; 179.9 projected for the season (80% range 152.7 to 207.1, half PPR, 9 games left).
Baker Mayfield 2026 game log and weekly projections
Half-PPR points and projection by week. Each linked week has its own page with the full stat line, all three scorings and everyone in the game.
| Week | Opponent | Points | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ CIN | 11.6 | 18.9 | QB27 |
| Week 2 | vs CLE | 13.2 | 17.3 | QB21 |
| Week 3 | vs MIN | 12.3 | 16.0 | QB25 |
| Week 4 | vs GB | — | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ DAL | — | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs PIT | — | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ CAR | 6.7 | 15.3 | QB26 |
| Week 8 | vs ATL | 1.4 | 15.3 | QB28 |
| Week 9 | @ CHI | — | 15.9 | upcoming |
| Week 10 | Bye | — | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ DET | — | 18.7 | upcoming |
| Week 12 | vs CAR | — | 14.8 | upcoming |
| Week 13 | vs LAC | — | 15.7 | upcoming |
| Week 14 | @ BAL | — | 15.1 | upcoming |
| Week 15 | vs NO | — | 15.8 | upcoming |
| Week 16 | @ ATL | — | 14.2 | upcoming |
| Week 17 | vs LAR | — | 13.6 | upcoming |
| Week 18 | @ NO | — | 15.8 | upcoming |
Baker Mayfield 2026 stats and fantasy points
45.2 half-PPR points in 5 games (9.0 a game), QB33 so far. PPR 45.2, standard 45.2.
| Stat | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Completions / attempts | 68 / 110 | — |
| Passing yards | 679 | 135.8 |
| Passing TDs | 3 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0.4 |
| Carries | 16 | 3.2 |
| Rushing yards | 80 | 16.0 |
| Rushing TDs | 1 | 0.2 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 0.6 |
Baker Mayfield rest of season outlook
Margin projects 139.6 half-PPR points over his 9 remaining games (15.5 a game), QB23 the rest of the way. PPR 139.6, standard 139.6.
His outlook is better than his start (QB33 to date, QB23 projected from here), the profile of a buy-low.
Start or sit Baker Mayfield in week 9?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Baker Mayfield is QB17 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Baker Mayfield a 38% chance to score at least that.
More rankings
Questions
What is Baker Mayfield's fantasy projection for week 9?
15.9 half-PPR points (15.9 PPR, 15.9 standard), with an 80% range of 6.0 to 24.9.
Should I start Baker Mayfield in week 9?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Baker Mayfield is QB17 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Baker Mayfield a 38% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points has Baker Mayfield scored in 2026?
45.2 half-PPR points in 5 games (9.0 per game), QB33 at his position; 45.2 in PPR and 45.2 in standard.
What is Baker Mayfield's rest of season outlook?
Margin projects 139.6 half-PPR points over his 9 remaining games (15.5 a game), QB23 the rest of the way. PPR 139.6, standard 139.6.
Should I trade for Baker Mayfield?
His outlook is better than his start (QB33 to date, QB23 projected from here), the profile of a buy-low. Connect your league and Margin prices any trade against your roster.
Is Baker Mayfield injured?
Baker Mayfield has no injury designation. His chance to play in week 9: 100%.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)
Similar quarterbacks this week
- J.J. McCarthy NYG · 16.6
- Bryce Young CAR · 16.4
- Caleb Williams CHI · 15.9
- Jordan Love GB · 15.8
- Michael Penix Jr. ATL · 15.7
- Kirk Cousins LV · 15.7