QB · Atlanta Falcons · bye week 11
Michael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr. fantasy outlook for week 9 vs CIN. Chance to play: 100%.
This week's projection and range of outcomes
| Scoring | Projection | 80% range (P10 to P90) | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 15.7 | 6.4 to 24.6 | QB20 |
| Half PPR | 15.7 | 6.4 to 24.6 | QB20 |
| PPR | 15.7 | 6.4 to 24.6 | QB20 |
The range is Margin's: how far real outcomes landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
Matchup
- Game: vs CIN
- Line: CIN −3, O/U 51.5
- ATL implied total: 24.2
- CIN allow the 7th-most QB points (+1.2 a game, schedule-adjusted)
Recent usage
| Week | Opponent | Snap share | Targets | Carries | Points (half PPR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | BAL | 95% | — | 2 | 14.4 |
| Week 6 | CHI | 100% | — | 1 | 23.1 |
| Week 7 | SF | 99% | — | 5 | 20.4 |
| Week 8 | TB | 100% | — | 5 | 2.1 |
Season range
87.7 points so far; 214.5 projected for the season (80% range 187.7 to 241.3, half PPR, 9 games left).
Trending
Added in 0 and dropped in 16,824 Sleeper leagues in the last 24 hours.
Michael Penix Jr. 2026 game log and weekly projections
Half-PPR points and projection by week. Each linked week has its own page with the full stat line, all three scorings and everyone in the game.
| Week | Opponent | Points | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ PIT | — | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs CAR | — | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ GB | 15.0 | 13.5 | QB21 |
| Week 4 | @ NO | 12.7 | 14.8 | QB24 |
| Week 5 | vs BAL | 14.4 | 14.9 | QB18 |
| Week 6 | vs CHI | 23.1 | 14.6 | QB5 |
| Week 7 | vs SF | 20.4 | 15.3 | QB9 |
| Week 8 | @ TB | 2.1 | 14.4 | QB27 |
| Week 9 | vs CIN | — | 15.7 | upcoming |
| Week 10 | vs KC | — | 12.7 | upcoming |
| Week 11 | Bye | — | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ MIN | — | 11.9 | upcoming |
| Week 13 | vs DET | — | 16.7 | upcoming |
| Week 14 | @ CLE | — | 13.2 | upcoming |
| Week 15 | @ WAS | — | 16.8 | upcoming |
| Week 16 | vs TB | — | 14.2 | upcoming |
| Week 17 | vs NO | — | 14.2 | upcoming |
| Week 18 | @ CAR | — | 13.2 | upcoming |
Michael Penix Jr. 2026 stats and fantasy points
87.7 half-PPR points in 6 games (14.6 a game), QB25 so far. PPR 87.7, standard 87.7.
| Stat | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Completions / attempts | 104 / 168 | — |
| Passing yards | 1282 | 213.7 |
| Passing TDs | 9 | 1.5 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 0.8 |
| Carries | 17 | 2.8 |
| Rushing yards | 15 | 2.5 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0.2 |
Michael Penix Jr. rest of season outlook
Margin projects 128.6 half-PPR points over his 9 remaining games (14.3 a game), QB27 the rest of the way. PPR 128.6, standard 128.6.
His start and his outlook agree (QB25 to date, QB27 from here): his trade price should match his projection.
Start or sit Michael Penix Jr. in week 9?
Sit in most leagues. Michael Penix Jr. is QB21 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Michael Penix Jr. a 38% chance to score at least that.
More rankings
Questions
What is Michael Penix Jr.'s fantasy projection for week 9?
15.7 half-PPR points (15.7 PPR, 15.7 standard), with an 80% range of 6.4 to 24.6.
Should I start Michael Penix Jr. in week 9?
Sit in most leagues. Michael Penix Jr. is QB21 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Michael Penix Jr. a 38% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points has Michael Penix Jr. scored in 2026?
87.7 half-PPR points in 6 games (14.6 per game), QB25 at his position; 87.7 in PPR and 87.7 in standard.
What is Michael Penix Jr.'s rest of season outlook?
Margin projects 128.6 half-PPR points over his 9 remaining games (14.3 a game), QB27 the rest of the way. PPR 128.6, standard 128.6.
Should I trade for Michael Penix Jr.?
His start and his outlook agree (QB25 to date, QB27 from here): his trade price should match his projection. Connect your league and Margin prices any trade against your roster.
Is Michael Penix Jr. injured?
Michael Penix Jr. has no injury designation. His chance to play in week 9: 100%.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)
Similar quarterbacks this week
- Caleb Williams CHI · 15.9
- Baker Mayfield TB · 15.9
- Jordan Love GB · 15.8
- Kirk Cousins LV · 15.7
- C.J. Stroud HOU · 15.6
- Bo Nix DEN · 15.1