WR · Minnesota Vikings · bye week 6

Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson fantasy outlook for week 9 vs BUF. Chance to play: 100%.

This week's projection and range of outcomes

ScoringProjection80% range (P10 to P90)Rank
Standard11.22.7 to 20.3WR9
Half PPR14.24.4 to 24.2WR7
PPR17.25.9 to 28.5WR8

The range is Margin's: how far real outcomes landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.

Matchup

Recent usage

WeekOpponentSnap shareTargetsCarriesPoints (half PPR)
Week 3TB12%2—4.2
Week 5NO89%7115.8
Week 7IND93%7—6.4
Week 8DET96%9—11.8

Season range

72.4 points so far; 210.8 projected for the season (80% range 178.2 to 243.4, half PPR, 10 games left).

Justin Jefferson 2026 game log and weekly projections

Half-PPR points and projection by week. Each linked week has its own page with the full stat line, all three scorings and everyone in the game.

WeekOpponentPointsProj.Rank
Week 1vs GB27.214.2WR3
Week 2@ CHI7.014.7WR41
Week 3@ TB4.213.8WR73
Week 4vs MIA———
Week 5@ NO15.813.4WR15
Week 6Bye———
Week 7vs IND6.414.1WR36
Week 8@ DET11.814.6WR20
Week 9vs BUF—14.2upcoming
Week 10@ GB—14.6upcoming
Week 11@ SF—13.6upcoming
Week 12vs ATL—13.9upcoming
Week 13vs CAR—13.6upcoming
Week 14@ NE—13.8upcoming
Week 15vs DET—15.6upcoming
Week 16vs WAS—15.9upcoming
Week 17@ NYJ—14.4upcoming
Week 18vs CHI—15.1upcoming

Justin Jefferson 2026 stats and fantasy points

72.4 half-PPR points in 6 games (12.1 a game), WR24 so far. PPR 86.4, standard 58.4.

StatTotalPer game
Targets406.7
Receptions284.7
Receiving yards33555.8
Receiving TDs40.7
Carries10.2
Rushing yards-11-1.8

Justin Jefferson rest of season outlook

Margin projects 144.7 half-PPR points over his 10 remaining games (14.5 a game), WR7 the rest of the way. PPR 176.0, standard 113.4.

His outlook is better than his start (WR24 to date, WR7 projected from here), the profile of a buy-low.

Start or sit Justin Jefferson in week 9?

Start. Justin Jefferson is WR7 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (WR30) is projected for 9.3 half-PPR points; Margin gives Justin Jefferson a 66% chance to score at least that.

More rankings

Questions

What is Justin Jefferson's fantasy projection for week 9?

14.2 half-PPR points (17.2 PPR, 11.2 standard), with an 80% range of 4.4 to 24.2.

Should I start Justin Jefferson in week 9?

Start. Justin Jefferson is WR7 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (WR30) is projected for 9.3 half-PPR points; Margin gives Justin Jefferson a 66% chance to score at least that.

How many fantasy points has Justin Jefferson scored in 2026?

72.4 half-PPR points in 6 games (12.1 per game), WR24 at his position; 86.4 in PPR and 58.4 in standard.

What is Justin Jefferson's rest of season outlook?

Margin projects 144.7 half-PPR points over his 10 remaining games (14.5 a game), WR7 the rest of the way. PPR 176.0, standard 113.4.

Should I trade for Justin Jefferson?

His outlook is better than his start (WR24 to date, WR7 projected from here), the profile of a buy-low. Connect your league and Margin prices any trade against your roster.

Is Justin Jefferson injured?

Justin Jefferson has no injury designation. His chance to play in week 9: 100%.

See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)

Similar wide receivers this week