QB · Kansas City Chiefs · bye week 5

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes fantasy outlook for week 9 vs NYJ. Chance to play: 100%.

This week's projection and range of outcomes

ScoringProjection80% range (P10 to P90)Rank
Standard20.79.5 to 28.8QB5
Half PPR20.79.5 to 28.8QB5
PPR20.79.5 to 28.8QB5

The range is Margin's: how far real outcomes landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.

Matchup

Recent usage

WeekOpponentSnap shareTargetsCarriesPoints (half PPR)
Week 4LV100%—217.0
Week 6LAC100%—511.5
Week 7SEA100%—27.0
Week 8DEN100%—225.4

Season range

129.5 points so far; 311.8 projected for the season (80% range 280.7 to 343.0, half PPR, 10 games left).

Patrick Mahomes 2026 game log and weekly projections

Half-PPR points and projection by week. Each linked week has its own page with the full stat line, all three scorings and everyone in the game.

WeekOpponentPointsProj.Rank
Week 1vs DEN22.715.1QB9
Week 2vs IND29.017.7QB4
Week 3@ MIA16.920.7QB20
Week 4@ LV17.021.3QB13
Week 5Bye———
Week 6vs LAC11.518.6QB23
Week 7@ SEA7.016.5QB25
Week 8@ DEN25.418.0QB5
Week 9vs NYJ—20.7upcoming
Week 10@ ATL—18.4upcoming
Week 11vs ARI—23.5upcoming
Week 12@ BUF—20.2upcoming
Week 13@ LAR—17.8upcoming
Week 14@ CIN—20.3upcoming
Week 15vs NE—18.9upcoming
Week 16vs SF—18.6upcoming
Week 17@ LAC—19.9upcoming
Week 18vs LV—21.6upcoming

Patrick Mahomes 2026 stats and fantasy points

129.5 half-PPR points in 7 games (18.5 a game), QB14 so far. PPR 129.5, standard 129.5.

StatTotalPer game
Completions / attempts154 / 232—
Passing yards1795256.4
Passing TDs121.7
Interceptions40.6
Carries213.0
Rushing yards7711.0
Rushing TDs10.1

Patrick Mahomes rest of season outlook

Margin projects 199.9 half-PPR points over his 10 remaining games (20.0 a game), QB4 the rest of the way. PPR 199.9, standard 199.9.

His outlook is better than his start (QB14 to date, QB4 projected from here), the profile of a buy-low.

Start or sit Patrick Mahomes in week 9?

Start. Patrick Mahomes is QB5 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Patrick Mahomes a 58% chance to score at least that.

More rankings

Questions

What is Patrick Mahomes's fantasy projection for week 9?

20.7 half-PPR points (20.7 PPR, 20.7 standard), with an 80% range of 9.5 to 28.8.

Should I start Patrick Mahomes in week 9?

Start. Patrick Mahomes is QB5 by projection in week 9. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Patrick Mahomes a 58% chance to score at least that.

How many fantasy points has Patrick Mahomes scored in 2026?

129.5 half-PPR points in 7 games (18.5 per game), QB14 at his position; 129.5 in PPR and 129.5 in standard.

What is Patrick Mahomes's rest of season outlook?

Margin projects 199.9 half-PPR points over his 10 remaining games (20.0 a game), QB4 the rest of the way. PPR 199.9, standard 199.9.

Should I trade for Patrick Mahomes?

His outlook is better than his start (QB14 to date, QB4 projected from here), the profile of a buy-low. Connect your league and Margin prices any trade against your roster.

Is Patrick Mahomes injured?

Patrick Mahomes has no injury designation. His chance to play in week 9: 100%.

See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)

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