QB · Kansas City Chiefs · week 10, 2026
Patrick Mahomes week 10 fantasy projection
Patrick Mahomes (quarterback, Kansas City Chiefs) is projected for 18.4 half-PPR points in week 10 of 2026 at Atlanta Falcons, with an 80% range of 7.7 to 27.2. That ranks QB9 at his position.
- Projection
- 18.4 half PPR
- 80% range
- 7.7–27.2 P10 to P90
- Rank
- QB9 by projection
- Chance to play
- 100% no designation
Week 10 projection and range of outcomes
Margin's range: how far real results landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
| Scoring | Projection | Median | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 18.4 | 16.8 | 7.7 to 27.2 |
| Half PPR | 18.4 | 16.8 | 7.7 to 27.2 |
| PPR | 18.4 | 16.8 | 7.7 to 27.2 |
Start or sit Patrick Mahomes in week 10?
Start in most leagues. Patrick Mahomes is QB9 by projection in week 10. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.4 half-PPR points; Margin gives Patrick Mahomes a 47% chance to score at least that.
Your league's scoring, roster and opponent change the answer: connect it and Margin prices the decision for your lineup.
Week 10 matchup vs ATL
Game: at Atlanta Falcons, 2026-11-15.
ATL allow the 10th-fewest QB points (−0.6 a game, schedule-adjusted).
Injury status
Patrick Mahomes has no injury designation. Chance to play in week 10: 100% (as of today).
Projected stat line, week 10
| Stat | Projected |
|---|---|
| Completions / attempts | 22.7 / 33.6 |
| Passing yards | 250.1 |
| Passing TDs | 1.5 |
| Interceptions | 0.9 |
| Carries | 3.9 |
| Rushing yards | 22.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 0.2 |
| Fumbles lost | 0.2 |
Everyone in the game: KC @ ATL, week 10
Every fantasy player from both teams, by half-PPR projection.
| Player | Pos | Team | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 19.2 | RB3 |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 18.6 | RB4 |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 18.4 | QB9 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 12.7 | QB27 |
| Drake London | WR | ATL | 12.6 | WR16 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 12.2 | WR19 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 10.5 | TE5 |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 8.3 | WR36 |
| Harrison Butker | K | KC | 8.2 | K13 |
| Nick Folk | K | ATL | 8.2 | K15 |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | ATL | 6.0 | TE23 |
| Kansas City Chiefs defense | DEF | KC | 5.8 | DEF12 |
| Atlanta Falcons defense | DEF | ATL | 5.2 | DEF19 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | ATL | 4.4 | RB54 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 4.1 | WR64 |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 3.8 | RB57 |
| Noah Gray | TE | KC | 3.2 | TE38 |
| Austin Hooper | TE | ATL | 2.4 | TE43 |
| Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | 2.1 | WR89 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ATL | 1.6 | WR99 |
| Jalen Royals | WR | KC | 1.3 | WR105 |
| Cyrus Allen | WR | KC | 0.8 | WR115 |
| Jake Briningstool | TE | KC | 0.6 | TE73 |
| Andrew Armstrong | WR | KC | 0.5 | WR126 |
| Charlie Woerner | TE | ATL | 0.5 | TE76 |
Patrick Mahomes week by week, 2026
- Week 1 vs DEN 22.7 pts
- Week 2 vs IND 29.0 pts
- Week 3 @ MIA 16.9 pts
- Week 4 @ LV 17.0 pts
- Week 6 vs LAC 11.5 pts
- Week 7 @ SEA 7.0 pts
- Week 8 @ DEN 25.4 pts
- Week 9 vs NYJ proj. 20.7
- Week 10 @ ATL proj. 18.4
More from week 10
Questions
Should I start Patrick Mahomes in week 10?
Start in most leagues. Patrick Mahomes is QB9 by projection in week 10. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 17.4 half-PPR points; Margin gives Patrick Mahomes a 47% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points is Patrick Mahomes projected for in week 10?
18.4 half-PPR, 18.4 PPR and 18.4 standard points at Atlanta Falcons, with an 80% range of 7.7 to 27.2.
Is Patrick Mahomes playing in week 10?
Patrick Mahomes has no injury designation. Margin gives him a 100% chance to play.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)