RB · Minnesota Vikings · week 11, 2026
Aaron Jones Sr. week 11 fantasy projection
Aaron Jones Sr. (running back, Minnesota Vikings) is projected for 7.8 half-PPR points in week 11 of 2026 at San Francisco 49ers, with an 80% range of 1.3 to 16.5. That ranks RB28 at his position.
- Projection
- 7.8 half PPR
- 80% range
- 1.3–16.5 P10 to P90
- Rank
- RB28 by projection
- Chance to play
- 100% no designation
Week 11 projection and range of outcomes
Margin's range: how far real results landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
| Scoring | Projection | Median | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 6.6 | 5.1 | 0.5 to 14.9 |
| Half PPR | 7.8 | 6.6 | 1.3 to 16.5 |
| PPR | 8.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 to 18.1 |
Start or sit Aaron Jones Sr. in week 11?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Aaron Jones Sr. is RB28 by projection in week 11. The last starter in a 12-team league (RB24) is projected for 9.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 35% chance to score at least that.
Your league's scoring, roster and opponent change the answer: connect it and Margin prices the decision for your lineup.
Week 11 matchup vs SF
Game: at San Francisco 49ers, 2026-11-22.
Line: SF −3.5, O/U 46.5.
MIN implied total: 21.5 points.
SF allow the 12th-fewest RB points (−0.5 a game, schedule-adjusted).
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation. Chance to play in week 11: 100% (as of today).
Projected stat line, week 11
| Stat | Projected |
|---|---|
| Carries | 11.2 |
| Rushing yards | 40.8 |
| Rushing TDs | 0.1 |
| Targets | 3 |
| Receptions | 2.4 |
| Receiving yards | 12.9 |
| Receiving TDs | 0.1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0.1 |
Everyone in the game: MIN @ SF, week 11
Every fantasy player from both teams, by half-PPR projection.
| Player | Pos | Team | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 19.4 | QB9 |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 19.3 | RB3 |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 16.9 | QB15 |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 15.5 | QB18 |
| Mike Evans | WR | SF | 15.2 | WR5 |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 14.4 | WR8 |
| George Kittle | TE | SF | 11.7 | TE4 |
| Will Reichard | K | MIN | 9.1 | K2 |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 8.4 | TE14 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 8.1 | WR35 |
| Eddy Pineiro | K | SF | 8.0 | K12 |
| Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 7.8 | RB28 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 7.6 | RB29 |
| Keenan Allen | WR | SF | 7.4 | WR42 |
| Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 7.0 | WR46 |
| San Francisco 49ers defense | DEF | SF | 6.2 | DEF7 |
| Minnesota Vikings defense | DEF | MIN | 5.5 | DEF15 |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | SF | 5.2 | WR56 |
| Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 4.7 | RB47 |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 2.5 | WR80 |
| Gavin Bartholomew | TE | MIN | 1.3 | TE50 |
| Luke Farrell | TE | SF | 1.3 | TE52 |
| Tai Felton | WR | MIN | 1.1 | WR99 |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | WR | MIN | 0.8 | WR107 |
| DeeJay Dallas | RB | MIN | 0.5 | RB67 |
Aaron Jones Sr. week by week, 2026
- Week 1 vs GB 10.0 pts
- Week 2 @ CHI 10.5 pts
- Week 3 @ TB 11.7 pts
- Week 4 vs MIA 14.8 pts
- Week 5 @ NO 17.2 pts
- Week 7 vs IND 3.1 pts
- Week 8 @ DET 5.0 pts
- Week 9 vs BUF 2.6 pts
- Week 10 @ GB proj. 7.8
- Week 11 @ SF proj. 7.8
More from week 11
Questions
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. in week 11?
Borderline: a flex or a deep-league start. Aaron Jones Sr. is RB28 by projection in week 11. The last starter in a 12-team league (RB24) is projected for 9.1 half-PPR points; Margin gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 35% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points is Aaron Jones Sr. projected for in week 11?
7.8 half-PPR, 8.9 PPR and 6.6 standard points at San Francisco 49ers, with an 80% range of 1.3 to 16.5.
Is Aaron Jones Sr. playing in week 11?
Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation. Margin gives him a 100% chance to play.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)