QB · Kansas City Chiefs · week 11, 2026
Patrick Mahomes week 11 fantasy projection
Patrick Mahomes (quarterback, Kansas City Chiefs) is projected for 23.5 half-PPR points in week 11 of 2026 vs Arizona Cardinals, with an 80% range of 11.4 to 32.5. That ranks QB3 at his position.
- Projection
- 23.5 half PPR
- 80% range
- 11.4–32.5 P10 to P90
- Rank
- QB3 by projection
- Chance to play
- 100% no designation
Week 11 projection and range of outcomes
Margin's range: how far real results landed from projections like this one, by position and size, over 2019 to 2025. It assumes he plays.
| Scoring | Projection | Median | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 23.5 | 21.6 | 11.4 to 32.5 |
| Half PPR | 23.5 | 21.6 | 11.4 to 32.5 |
| PPR | 23.5 | 21.6 | 11.4 to 32.5 |
Start or sit Patrick Mahomes in week 11?
Start. Patrick Mahomes is QB3 by projection in week 11. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 18.9 half-PPR points; Margin gives Patrick Mahomes a 60% chance to score at least that.
Your league's scoring, roster and opponent change the answer: connect it and Margin prices the decision for your lineup.
Week 11 matchup vs ARI
Game: vs Arizona Cardinals, 2026-11-22.
Line: KC −14, O/U 42.5.
KC implied total: 28.2 points.
ARI allow the 9th-most QB points (+1.3 a game, schedule-adjusted).
Injury status
Patrick Mahomes has no injury designation. Chance to play in week 11: 100% (as of today).
Projected stat line, week 11
| Stat | Projected |
|---|---|
| Completions / attempts | 22.9 / 34.3 |
| Passing yards | 290 |
| Passing TDs | 2.2 |
| Interceptions | 0.4 |
| Carries | 4 |
| Rushing yards | 23.8 |
| Rushing TDs | 0.2 |
| Fumbles lost | 0.2 |
Everyone in the game: KC vs ARI, week 11
Every fantasy player from both teams, by half-PPR projection.
| Player | Pos | Team | Proj. | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 23.5 | QB3 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 20.0 | RB2 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 14.0 | WR10 |
| Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 13.0 | TE2 |
| Gardner Minshew II | QB | ARI | 12.5 | QB23 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 11.8 | TE3 |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 9.6 | WR27 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 9.5 | RB23 |
| Harrison Butker | K | KC | 7.5 | K17 |
| Zonovan Knight | RB | ARI | 7.3 | RB33 |
| Chad Ryland | K | ARI | 7.2 | K22 |
| Josh Downs | WR | KC | 7.2 | WR44 |
| Kansas City Chiefs defense | DEF | KC | 6.7 | DEF2 |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 6.2 | RB39 |
| Reggie Virgil | WR | ARI | 6.1 | WR51 |
| Elijah Higgins | TE | ARI | 5.5 | TE24 |
| Noah Gray | TE | KC | 4.0 | TE29 |
| Simi Fehoko | WR | ARI | 3.9 | WR68 |
| Arizona Cardinals defense | DEF | ARI | 3.8 | DEF25 |
| Devin Duvernay | WR | ARI | 2.6 | WR79 |
| Carson Beck | QB | ARI | 1.9 | QB27 |
| Teagan Quitoriano | TE | ARI | 1.6 | TE47 |
| Jalen Royals | WR | KC | 1.5 | WR95 |
| James Conner | RB | ARI | 1.3 | RB59 |
| Cyrus Allen | WR | KC | 1.0 | WR100 |
| Jake Briningstool | TE | KC | 0.7 | TE63 |
| Andrew Armstrong | WR | KC | 0.5 | WR112 |
Patrick Mahomes week by week, 2026
- Week 1 vs DEN 22.7 pts
- Week 2 vs IND 29.0 pts
- Week 3 @ MIA 16.9 pts
- Week 4 @ LV 17.0 pts
- Week 6 vs LAC 11.5 pts
- Week 7 @ SEA 7.0 pts
- Week 8 @ DEN 25.4 pts
- Week 9 vs NYJ 16.5 pts
- Week 10 @ ATL proj. 18.9
- Week 11 vs ARI proj. 23.5
More from week 11
Questions
Should I start Patrick Mahomes in week 11?
Start. Patrick Mahomes is QB3 by projection in week 11. The last starter in a 12-team league (QB12) is projected for 18.9 half-PPR points; Margin gives Patrick Mahomes a 60% chance to score at least that.
How many fantasy points is Patrick Mahomes projected for in week 11?
23.5 half-PPR, 23.5 PPR and 23.5 standard points vs Arizona Cardinals, with an 80% range of 11.4 to 32.5.
Is Patrick Mahomes playing in week 11?
Patrick Mahomes has no injury designation. Margin gives him a 100% chance to play.
See how he fits your team — connect your league (Sleeper, Yahoo, ESPN)